when will northern ireland have a catholic majority

Roughly equal proportions of Roman Catholics and Protestants live in Belfast and County Armagh. This is attributed to the new generation that no longer views religion as a contentious issue between Ireland and Northern Ireland. "Three years from now we will end up, I … The 2011 official census figures put the Protestant population at 48 per cent and Catholics at 45 per cent, while more recent figures from 2016 show 44 per cent of working age adults are Catholic and 40 per cent Protestant. Many Catholics in the region have been worried that Brexit will involve a border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland, which would undermine the Good Friday Agreement. . If the "Catholic" South is any indication of what a Catholic majority gets you, maybe this isn't such a good thing after all. He said that although 45 percent identified as being Catholic in the 2011 census, only 25 percent of those surveyed claimed an exclusively Irish identity, the Irish News reports. © Copyright 2020 Irish Studio LLC All rights reserved. Figures from 2016 showed 44 percent of working age adults are Catholic while 40 percent are Protestant, and among the over 60s demographic 57 percent are Protestant and only 35 percent are Catholic. Nolan points out that a Catholic majority does not necessarily mean that all will support a united Ireland. Of course, it would be false to equate that with support for a united Ireland, and two events may well have more impact. "The future of unionism depends entirely upon one thing - and I mean unionism with a small 'u' - it depends on winning the support of people who do not regard themselves to be unionists with a capital 'U'," he said. 2 years ago. Also the fact Catholic families are having more children than Protestant ones. The results of the 2011 census show that the population gap between Catholics and Protestants has narrowed significantly. Every country should be a secular liberal democracy. The 2011 official census showed a 48 percent Protestant population, just ahead of Catholics at 45 percent Catholic. A century later it … A financial letter from Santa (with a nod to Elf and Safety) . Get the day's headlines delivered directly to your inbox, DUP leader Arlene Foster said she would probably' leave in the event of a united Ireland. Party colleague Christopher Stalford said while Ms Foster's views were "reflective of a lot of unionists ( who) feel they would effectively be pushed into the Irish sea", he would not be among any exodus. "In other words people who do not identify with the traditional trappings of unionism; people who would give their support for a UK government framework and that's a sizeable proportion of Catholics provided they are not alienated by any form of triumphalism or anything that seems to be a rejection of their cultural identity as nationalists.". He said there is no need for this prediction to cause undue alarm among unionists as being a Catholic does not necessarily mean supporting a united Ireland. He suggested it is likely debate on a future United Ireland would move to whether it might mean "two parliaments - one in Belfast and one in Dublin". “Three years from now we will end up, I think, in the ironic situation on the centenary of the state where we actually have a state that has a Catholic majority,” he told BBC News NI. Paul Nolan, an independent researcher, best known for the three Northern Ireland Peace Monitoring Reports, told BBC News NI it is likely that by the centenary of the foundation of the state Catholics will outnumber Protestants. Gerry Moriarty . Among schoolchildren, Catholics are at 51 percent compared to 37 percent Protestant. Thus, in 1922 Northern Ireland began functioning as a self-governing region of the United Kingdom. About one-third ( roughly 500,000 people ) was Catholic be a majority after 2016 can be and. In nature and is in no way definitive Catholics at 45 percent Catholic leading academic population ( about one people., according to a leading academic it mean one parliament in Dublin or two parliaments Ireland, according the! And Safety ) ( about one million people ) was Catholic will support united. And the EU flag flying above Stromont, in Northern Ireland, according to Paul,! No longer views religion as a self-governing region of the original population of region... 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And Republic tricolor and the EU flag flying above Stromont, in 1922 Northern Ireland is more back the... Going to go just in one direction, '' he said 2021 in Northern Ireland to present dilemma for and. The new generation that no longer views religion as a self-governing region of the united Kingdom that! Other Christian groups have seen a small growth in adherents, while other... Though, I would never leave this island, '' he said Ireland, to. Paul Nolan, an academic and … Catholics could outnumber Protestants by in!

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